I would bet on AGI arriving sooner rather than later.
The primary limiting factor right now is availability of power and space. Once small modular reactors start to really take off, we are going to see insane growth in AI development.
I totally understand the challenges with infrastructure that need solving, but that doesn’t mean AI is useless or that it’ll never be better than it is now.
Frankly, the “AI slop” crusade isn’t working. It’s time to choose a new fighter.
This is what I’m talking about. “Always will be”? AGI will come. Don’t bet against it.
People are way too pessimistic about AI. NVIDIA is going to sell GPUs by the truckload until research finds a way around CUDA.
Sure, the pace of big leaps has slowed, but I liken this phase to the early 1900s. Cars were slow and unreliable, but once the technology took foothold and the 4th Industrial Revolution really took off, look how much progress was made. We went to the moon by the 60s.
I’ve felt like an adult since I was a child.