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Cake day: June 7th, 2023

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  • I think you need to think about the rate at which technology has advanced in the last hundred years in general, then look at how it changed in the 10 year increments in that period then extrapolate out what has plateaued vs ramped up.

    Broadly speaking, there have been major changes but the telephone existed in 1925, so did refrigeration, powered flight, and cars.

    Medical tech is really where I think the biggest difference has been, and where I think we will continue to see major changes. If you compare our medical knowledge of diseases, cancer, and genetics today vs 1925 it seems huge (to an outsider). The difference between a computer in 1950 and today is largely scale and computer power, yeah, its improved but it still fundamentally does math in the same basic manner. Quantum computers may change that some but its still essentially math.