Well, a high probability doesn’t mean it will happen, and a low probability doesn’t mean it won’t.
(A tossed coin that shows head the first 5 times and after that it always shows up tails still has a probability of 0% head and 100% tails, assuming you don’t know which coin toss this is.)
Is there a monkey’s paw clause in this? Does probability snap back like an elastic on the things you aren’t focusing on?
Well, a high probability doesn’t mean it will happen, and a low probability doesn’t mean it won’t.
(A tossed coin that shows head the first 5 times and after that it always shows up tails still has a probability of 0% head and 100% tails, assuming you don’t know which coin toss this is.)
Your rational and completely correct refutation to my monkey’s paw has foiled me this time, but I’ll be back. Muwahahaha!!
There’s definitely an inherent paw clause to this power…unintended consequences galore!
Probability has more than one side, bend it one way and its also being bent away from another.